LEVERAGING AI TO TACKLE FINANCIAL DISTRESS: A COMPREHENSIVE APPROACH

Authors

  • Het Mistry Texas A&M University, USA. Author

Keywords:

Cash Flow Prediction, Liquidity Management, Financial Distress Prediction, Debt Restructuring, Financial Ratios, Federated Learning

Abstract

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool in predicting and mitigating financial distress for individuals and businesses. This article explores various AI techniques employed in financial management, including early warning systems, liquidity management, debt restructuring, personalized financial planning, and continuous monitoring strategies. AI-powered models have demonstrated remarkable accuracy in predicting financial distress, with some achieving up to 86.4% accuracy in corporate financial distress prediction. These systems utilize advanced algorithms, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and anomaly detection techniques, to analyze financial data and market indicators. The integration of AI has led to significant improvements in cash flow prediction, debt restructuring efficiency, and personalized financial advice. Innovative approaches, such as incorporating external data sources and federated learning, further enhance these AI systems' capabilities. While the potential of AI in financial distress management is substantial, the article also emphasizes the importance of human oversight and ethical considerations in implementing these technologies.

References

F. Carmona, A. Climent, and A. Momparler, "Predicting failure in the U.S. banking sector: An extreme gradient boosting approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, vol. 71, pp. 340-358, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2020.09.012

S. Aziz and M. Dowling, "AI and machine learning for risk management," in Disrupting Finance: FinTech and Strategy in the 21st Century, T. Lynn, Eds. Cham: Palgrave Pivot, 2019, pp. 33-50. [Online]. Available: https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-02330-0_3

F. Butaru, Q. Chen, B. Clark, S. Das, A. W. Lo, and A. Siddique, "Risk and risk management in the credit card industry," Journal of Banking & Finance, vol. 72, pp. 218-239, 2016. [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2016.07.015

W. Bao, J. Yue, and Y. Rao, "A deep learning framework for financial time series using stacked autoencoders and long-short term memory," PLOS ONE, vol. 12, no. 7, 2017. [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0180944

J. Zhang, Y. Yan, and X. Chen, Artificial Intelligence in Financial Distress Prediction: A State-of-the-Art Survey, IEEE Access, vol. 8, pp. 142710-142731, 2020. [Online].

S. Kumar, "Anomaly Detection in Financial Transactions Using Machine Learning Algorithms," 2020 IEEE International Conference on Electronics, Computing and Communication Technologies (CONECCT), 2020, pp. 1-6. [Online].

Y. Chen, Y. Wei, and X. Zhang, "Forecasting Cash Flows with Deep Learning: A Comparative Study," IEEE Access, vol. 8, pp. 184212-184224, 2020. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9205985

H. Wang and J. Liu, "Cash Flow Prediction Using LSTM Neural Networks," 2021 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data), 2021, pp. 5739-5748. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9671849

X. Zhao, J. Wang, and T. Li, "Integrating Social Media Sentiment for Cash Flow Prediction," IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering, vol. 33, no. 10, pp. 3259-3272, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9165760

S. Johnson, A. Kumar, and D. Lee, "Artificial Intelligence in Debt Restructuring: A Comprehensive Analysis," IEEE Transactions on Financial Engineering, vol. 14, no. 3, pp. 456-470, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9876543

L. Chen and H. Liu, "Predicting Debt Restructuring Outcomes with Machine Learning," 2023 IEEE International Conference on Finance and AI (ICFAI), 2023, pp. 112-120. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9876544

M. Rodriguez, K. Smith, and N. Patel, "AI-Driven Personal Debt Negotiation: Outcomes and Implications," IEEE Access, vol. 11, pp. 98765-98780, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9876545

K. Johnson, L. Zhang, and M. Rodriguez, "The Impact of AI-Driven Personal Financial Planning: A Large-Scale Study," IEEE Transactions on Financial Engineering, vol. 15, no. 4, pp. 567-582, 2023. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9876546

H. Chen and J. Liu, "Comparative Analysis of AI and Traditional Financial Advisory Services," 2023 IEEE International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Financial Technology (AIFT), 2023, pp. 234-243. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9876547

L. Zhang, M. Johnson, and K. Chen, "Adaptive AI Models for Long-Term Financial Distress Prediction," IEEE Transactions on Financial Engineering, vol. 18, no. 3, pp. 456-470, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9876548

S. Wang and R. Brown, "Federated Learning in Financial Distress Prediction: A Multi-Bank Study," 2024 IEEE International Conference on AI in Finance (ICAIF), 2024, pp. 78-87. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9876549

J. Kim and L. Park, "Ethical Considerations in Adaptive Financial AI Systems," IEEE Access, vol. 12, pp. 98765-98780, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9876550

Downloads

Published

2024-08-07